Presidential Forecast
Joe Biden
Democrat
90%
306
Donald Trump
Republican
9%
232
1% chance of tie
Senate
as of Sep. 28th 14:00PST
Democrats
Gain control
61%
51
Republicans
Keep control
23%
49
16% chance of tie
House
as of Sep. 28th 14:00PST
Democrats
Keep control
99%
228
Republicans
Gain control
1%
207
no chance of tie
State
▲EC
▲D Vote
▲R Vote
▲3rd Vote
▲D Win
▲R Win
▲Alabama
9
39.36%
57.6%
3.04%
3.1%
96.9%
Arizona
11
47.36%
49.67%
2.97%
39.4%
60.6%
Alaska
3
45.26%
51.72%
3.02%
22.3%
77.7%
Arkansas
6
41.31%
55.52%
3.16%
7.2%
92.8%
California
55
60.34%
36.84%
2.83%
98.8%
1.2%
Colorado
9
54.53%
42.4%
3.08%
87.8%
12.2%
Delaware
3
59.19%
37.85%
2.96%
98.8%
1.2%
Connecticut
7
60.81%
35.96%
3.23%
99.6%
0.4%
District of Columbia
3
82.59%
14.46%
2.95%
100.0%
0.0%
Florida
29
46.68%
50.42%
2.9%
32.6%
67.4%
Georgia
16
45.56%
51.45%
2.98%
25.8%
74.2%
Iowa
6
45.69%
51.22%
3.09%
26.7%
73.3%
Idaho
4
32.31%
64.45%
3.23%
0.0%
100.0%
Hawaii
4
63.69%
32.85%
3.47%
100.0%
0.0%
Illinois
20
64.43%
32.37%
3.2%
100.0%
0.0%
Indiana
11
40.87%
55.98%
3.15%
6.2%
93.8%
Kansas
6
42.91%
53.89%
3.2%
12.2%
87.8%
Kentucky
8
39.52%
57.27%
3.21%
3.4%
96.6%
Louisiana
8
39.69%
57.16%
3.14%
3.1%
96.9%
Massachusetts
11
66.06%
30.73%
3.21%
100.0%
0.0%
Maryland
10
60.85%
36.13%
3.02%
99.4%
0.6%
Maine
2
54.41%
42.46%
3.13%
87.9%
12.1%
Maine 1st
1
53.21%
43.94%
2.85%
80.5%
19.5%
Maine 2nd
1
48.24%
48.67%
3.09%
46.7%
53.3%
Michigan
16
47.89%
48.86%
3.24%
43.9%
56.1%
Minnesota
10
51.35%
45.47%
3.19%
71.6%
28.4%
Missouri
10
42.1%
54.54%
3.36%
9.6%
90.4%
Mississippi
6
40.43%
56.45%
3.12%
4.8%
95.2%
Montana
3
41.98%
54.8%
3.22%
9.2%
90.8%
North Carolina
15
46.94%
50.1%
2.97%
34.8%
65.2%
North Dakota
3
39.47%
57.43%
3.1%
3.2%
96.8%
Nebraska
2
32.84%
63.83%
3.33%
0.0%
100.0%
Nebraska 1st
1
33.21%
63.5%
3.29%
0.0%
100.0%
Nebraska 2nd
1
47.25%
49.61%
3.14%
38.1%
61.9%
Nebraska 3rd
1
32.81%
63.92%
3.27%
0.0%
100.0%
New Hampshire
4
49.52%
47.3%
3.18%
58.6%
41.4%
New Jersey
14
59.89%
36.88%
3.23%
99.4%
0.6%
New Mexico
5
55.64%
41.14%
3.22%
92.5%
7.5%
Nevada
6
46.73%
50.13%
3.13%
35.3%
64.7%
New York
29
62.49%
34.38%
3.12%
99.8%
0.2%
Ohio
18
43.83%
53.24%
2.93%
14.4%
85.6%
Oklahoma
7
36.69%
60.16%
3.15%
0.7%
99.3%
Oregon
7
59.95%
36.72%
3.33%
99.0%
1.0%
Pennsylvania
20
43.35%
53.78%
2.87%
12.8%
87.2%
Rhode Island
4
59.9%
36.91%
3.19%
98.9%
1.1%
South Carolina
9
44.08%
52.84%
3.08%
16.7%
83.3%
South Dakota
3
30.05%
66.7%
3.26%
0.0%
100.0%
Tennessee
11
40.91%
55.85%
3.24%
5.8%
94.2%
Texas
38
43.84%
52.84%
3.32%
17.2%
82.8%
Utah
6
40.17%
56.53%
3.3%
4.7%
95.3%
Virginia
13
54.85%
41.99%
3.16%
89.5%
10.5%
Vermont
3
59.73%
36.91%
3.35%
98.8%
1.2%
Washington
12
63.03%
33.7%
3.27%
99.9%
0.1%
Wisconsin
10
51.71%
45.31%
2.98%
74.3%
25.7%
West Virginia
5
30.71%
66.34%
2.96%
0.0%
100.0%
Wyoming
3
33.18%
63.64%
3.19%
0.0%
100.0%